06 / TRACEABLE BASIS
保留口径,才能复核经营判断。保留口徑,才能複覈經營判斷。Keep the basis. Make decisions auditable.
同一项目、不同账本同一項目、不同賬本One project, separate ledgers
以600套、可售7.2万㎡、不含增值税基准单价3万元/㎡测算。土地7亿元、建安6.5亿元、前期设计等开发间接费0.7亿元、项目管理费0.6亿元。开发管理费前36个月均摊,之后至退出每月75万元。总投资为全周期现金支出加1500万元退出留存;股东资本和融资不是总投资的重复加项。以600套、可售7.2萬㎡、不含增值稅基準單價3萬元/㎡測算。土地7億元、建安6.5億元、前期設計等開發間接費0.7億元、項目管理費0.6億元。開發管理費前36個月均攤,之後至退出每月75萬元。總投資爲全週期現金支出加1500萬元退出留存;股東資本和融資不是總投資的重複加項。600 homes, 72,000m² saleable, ex-VAT base CNY 30,000/m². Land CNY 700m, construction CNY 650m, development/design CNY 70m, administration CNY 60m over 36 months; thereafter CNY 0.75m monthly until exit. Total cash requirement includes expenses and CNY 15m retained cash; equity and debt are sources, not extra investment cost.
资金与每日利息資金與每日利息Funding and daily interest
非循环开发贷上限5亿元,提款不超过当月建安70%及现金需要,土地由股东资本承担。M4起提,压力情景M10起提;月初提款、月末支付当月利息并还本,Actual/365,M36全部到期。月末现金最低3000万元,股东承诺9亿元,超出部分显示待落实资本。每日利息是借款余额费用,不是完整逐日现金支付预测。非循環開發貸上限5億元,提款不超過當月建安70%及現金需要,土地由股東資本承擔。M4起提,壓力情景M10起提;月初提款、月末支付當月利息並還本,Actual/365,M36全部到期。月末現金最低3000萬元,股東承諾9億元,超出部分顯示待落實資本。每日利息是借款餘額費用,不是完整逐日現金支付預測。Non-revolving CNY 500m facility; draws limited to 70% of monthly construction and cash need. Equity funds land. Draw from M4, or M10 under pressure, at month start; interest and repayment at month end on Actual/365; full maturity M36. Cash floor CNY 30m; committed equity CNY 900m. Daily interest is a debt cost, not a daily cash forecast.
销售、回款与受限账户銷售、回款與受限賬戶Sales, receipts and restrictions
M10—M33按季度10/15/15/15/15/10/10/10%推盘并在各季平均签约;销售延后同步移期。首付30%当月到账、按揭70%后2或4个月到账。批售把最后20%集中于M28加销售延期,在当前价格上再折价10%。交付前20%或35%回款暂受限,交付开始时按本例假设释放;真实监管释放条件需另核。M10—M33按季度10/15/15/15/15/10/10/10%推盤並在各季平均簽約;銷售延後同步移期。首付30%當月到賬、按揭70%後2或4個月到賬。批售把最後20%集中於M28加銷售延期,在當前價格上再折價10%。交付前20%或35%回款暫受限,交付開始時按本例假設釋放;真實監管釋放條件需另核。Contracts span M10–M33 at quarterly weights 10/15/15/15/15/10/10/10%, evenly per month. Delay moves the schedule. Collect 30% immediately and 70% after two/four months. Bulk-sell the final 20% at M28 plus delay, at an extra 10% discount. Retain 20/35% before delivery and release at its start for this illustration; real release conditions must be checked.
利润与现金的桥接利潤與現金的橋接Profit and cash reconciliation
建安上涨8%或15%时,付款及交付整体后移3个月。全周期开发成本含土地、建安、开发间接费及达到预定可使用状态前利息;之后利息列财务费用。销售费为销售额3%,其他交易税费预留8%;所得税按正数税前利润25%预算,5%回款先转内部税款储备,退出或M60时结算并释放余额。各项不是法定税率或审计会计政策。建安上漲8%或15%時,付款及交付整體後移3個月。全週期開發成本含土地、建安、開發間接費及達到預定可使用狀態前利息;之後利息列財務費用。銷售費爲銷售額3%,其他交易稅費預留8%;所得稅按正數稅前利潤25%預算,5%回款先轉內部稅款儲備,退出或M60時結算並釋放餘額。各項不是法定稅率或審計會計政策。An 8/15% build increase delays payment and delivery by three months. Development cost includes land, construction, development overhead and interest before readiness; later interest is financing expense. Selling cost 3%, transaction-tax allowance 8%, income-tax estimate 25% of positive pre-tax profit; internally hold 5% of receipts until settlement at exit or M60. These are modelling assumptions, not statutory rates or audited policies.
长期服务、退出与剩余责任長期服務、退出與剩餘責任Continuing service, exit and residual duties
物业企业自备60万元启动周转金,欠费不虚构自动回收;物业按4.2元/㎡·月,人员15、外包4.5、维保3、能耗2.5、管理1.5万元/月。效能方案只将外包、能耗、管理分别降至4.3、2、1.3,不削减人员和维保。稳定运营需连续3月:收缴≥95%、响应≥95%、维保≥98%、问题关闭≥95%、关键未结为0、自主现金不为负。再结合回款、债务、结算及正式交接判定退出;不满足则60个月内不分配。物業企業自備60萬元啓動週轉金,欠費不虛構自動回收;物業按4.2元/㎡·月,人員15、外包4.5、維保3、能耗2.5、管理1.5萬元/月。效能方案只將外包、能耗、管理分別降至4.3、2、1.3,不削減人員和維保。穩定運營需連續3月:收繳≥95%、響應≥95%、維保≥98%、問題關閉≥95%、關鍵未結爲0、自主現金不爲負。再結合回款、債務、結算及正式交接判定退出;不滿足則60個月內不分配。The property company funds CNY 0.6m initial working capital; no automatic arrears recovery is assumed. Fee CNY 4.2/m²/month. Monthly costs in CNY 10k: people 15, outsourcing 4.5, maintenance 3, energy 2.5, admin 1.5. Efficiency reduces only outsourcing/energy/admin to 4.3/2/1.3. Require three months with collection/response/closure ≥95%, maintenance ≥98%, zero critical open issues and non-negative unsupported cash, plus receipts, debt, final accounts and handover. If gates fail, no distribution within 60 months.
预测、实际与批准不能互相覆盖預測、實際與批准不能互相覆蓋Keep forecasts, actuals and approvals distinct
所有进度、合同、产值、客户和服务记录为同一假设生成。完工预测不是已支付,签约不是已收到,交付不是所有责任终止。未对真实贷款、税收、保修期、物业合同、收缴权利和审批作法律结论。没有真实项目资料时,不能把本页转作投资批复、财务报表或业绩证据。所有進度、合同、產值、客戶和服務記錄爲同一假設生成。完工預測不是已支付,簽約不是已收到,交付不是所有責任終止。未對真實貸款、稅收、保修期、物業合同、收繳權利和審批作法律結論。沒有真實項目資料時,不能把本頁轉作投資批覆、財務報表或業績證據。All progress, contracts, value, customers and service records are simulated. Forecast cost is not cash paid, contracts are not receipts, and handover does not end all obligations. No real lending, tax, warranty, property-fee or approval conclusions are established. This page is not an investment approval, financial statement or performance evidence.
净现值按自设12%年化折现率观察;出现多次现金流符号变化时不强行报告IRR。股东回报不计退出留存资金的终值,未完成退出时不显示已实现收益。淨現值按自設12%年化折現率觀察;出現多次現金流符號變化時不強行報告IRR。股東回報不計退出留存資金的終值,未完成退出時不顯示已實現收益。NPV uses an illustrative 12% annual discount rate. Do not force an IRR for cash flows with multiple sign changes. Equity returns exclude retained cash terminal value; no realised return is shown without exit.